PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94%+0.5pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
824,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 7.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
-1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
23. Apr. 26, 22:20 UTC31. März 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Recession this year?
KalshiUK Recession in 2026?
PolymarketUS recession by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US experience a recession during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of GDP decline) by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Japan’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP (Quarterly Real Growth Rate, Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter), as reported by the Cabinet Office, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market includes estimates reported in both the Cabinet Office’s Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) and Quarterly Estimates of GDP (Second Preliminary Estimates) releases for the relevant quarters.
- This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
- Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.
- For example, if upon release the relevant estimate for Q2 2026 is negative, and Q1 2026’s most recently available qualifying estimate is also negative, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Japan recession in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Japan recession in 2026? entschieden?
- Japan recession in 2026? soll am 31. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Japan recession in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Japan’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP (Quarterly Real Growth Rate, Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter), as reported by the Cabinet Office, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026.