KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 12%-3.0%
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4,4 €
Liquidität
78.009,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 13.0%
Spread
30.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
17. Dez. 25, 15:0031. Dez. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes12%
Volumentrend
$52. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2026: Trump's dream year?
1758,4 €Ja: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
586,7 €Ja: 47%KALSHI
KALSHI
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
29,1 €0-1%: 6.1%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
25,5 €Ja: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIWill the US be at full employment in December 2026?
17,6 €Ja: 35.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
3,7 €Shutdown & Democratic: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring **ALL** specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset:
- - "Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35%" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - "Will Democrats win control of the House of Representatives?" uses CONTROL - "Will the U.S. enter a recession?" uses NBERRECSS - "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) be at least 5%?" uses ECONSTAT
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).