PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 25.07.2026, 00:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit2028 25%-1.0%
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
2863,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 14.0%
Spread
180.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
10. Juni 26, 2:311. Jan. 29, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
202825%
Volumentrend
$105. Juli2T Daten6. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2026: Trump's dream year?
1758,6 €Ja: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
592,2 €Ja: 48%KALSHI
KALSHI
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
29,1 €0-1%: 6.1%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
25,5 €Ja: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIWill the US be at full employment in December 2026?
17,6 €Ja: 35.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
3,7 €Shutdown & Democratic: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
- A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
- A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
- The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.