KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 5%
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1758,6 €
Liquidität
156.702,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.8% / 6.5%
Spread
35.4%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
17. Dez. 25, 15:0031. Dez. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes5%
Volumentrend
$2.0k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
29,1 €0-1%: 6.1%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
3,7 €Shutdown & Democratic: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
592,2 €Ja: 48%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
25,5 €Ja: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
20,6 €Ja: 30%KALSHI
KALSHIWill the US be at full employment in December 2026?
17,6 €Ja: 35.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News
Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto NewsRegeln
If **ALL** of the following occur:
- Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
- Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
- GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
- The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
- then the market resolves to Yes.