Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
4. Feb. 26, 17:47 UTC30. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Manifold MarketsWhen in 2026 will US federal government present a new narrative, with documentation, regarding UAP/UFO events?
Manifold MarketsWill any US federal judge be impeached in 2026?
PredictItWill any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
PolymarketGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- A US federal shutdown occurs when funding legislation required to finance the federal government is not enacted before the next fiscal year begins.
- This market resolves YES if any federal shutdown (full or partial) occurs during November 2026.
- A "full" shutdown occurs when none of the 12 annual appropriations are in force, while a "partial" shutdown occurs when only some bills have been enacted, so only unfunded departments and programs shut down.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from Congress, the Office of Management and Budget, or major news outlets confirming a shutdown has begun.
- The market resolves NO if Congress passes and the President signs appropriations bills or a continuing resolution funding the government through November 30, 2026 without a lapse occurring.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 323.760,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.322,6 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 523.015,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.020,6 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 611.805,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.786,9 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.510,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.510,6 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7679,2 €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026? entschieden?
- Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026? soll am 30. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria