KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJapan 24%-8.1%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1,1 €
Liquidität
301,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
23.4% / 30.9%
Spread
32.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
23. Apr. 24, 12:0031. Dez. 27, 15:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Japan24%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
US recession by end of 2026?
2664,6 €Ja: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
792,6 €5.0%: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Ja: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSJune Unemployment Rate
134,5 €4.3%: 38%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?
134,1 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
80,4 €Ja: 47.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Regeln
If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
- If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
- If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.