PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit5.0% 17%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
792,6 €
Liquidität
9999,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.1% / 14.0%
Spread
38.6%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-3.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
2. Jan. 26, 18:5631. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
5.0%17%
Verwandte Märkte
US recession by end of 2026?
3181,9 €Ja: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Ja: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate
134,5 €4.2%: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?
134,1 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
96,2 €Ja: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
80,4 €Ja: 47.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026.
- This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released.
- If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve at that time.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.