Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 62.6%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet9. Dez. 23, 23:44 UTC1. März 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketWill South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa vs Australia. 1st Test Megamarket
Manifold MarketsZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiRegeln
Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.703 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.726,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.726,9 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 612.533,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6886,5 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5285,2 €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 63% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? soll am 1. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026