PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
0.0%–0.8% 26.5%+2.0ptFührend unter 10 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
191,5 €
Liquidität
9214,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadComments
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
17. Aug. 26, 19:3516. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
- Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Offene Märkte
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 196.532,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 17.021,8 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 106.387 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.490,6 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9932 €
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6944,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6510,9 €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 229.717,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5497,8 €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-11.5pt40.2%
- 0.4-0.7%+4.0pt27.8%
- 2.0%++0.3pt11.3%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
- Polymarket bewertet 0.0%–0.8% mit 27% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? entschieden?
- Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? soll am 16. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.