KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above -25,000 87%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
12 €
Liquidität
1175 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
10.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
13. Okt. 25, 14:00 UTC4. Dez. 26, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiJobs numbers in October 2026?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExHow many jobs added in September?
PolymarketWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRegeln
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:BLS
- The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is the named outcome as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 97,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,8 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 702.460,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 91.038,4 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 399.989,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34.473,1 €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.300,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4885,8 €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Jobs numbers in Nov 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Above -25,000 mit 87% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Jobs numbers in Nov 2026? entschieden?
- Jobs numbers in Nov 2026? soll am 4. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Jobs numbers in Nov 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.