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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wirtschaft
  3. US real GDP growth in 2030?
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

3.0% (24h)WirtschaftOne-Off4J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2.6% to 3.0%
2.6% to 3.0% 11%+3.0%
Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

134,2 €

Liquidität

95 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

8. Juni 26, 21:3028. Feb. 31, 13:29

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

2.6% to 3.0%11%

Regeln

If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030.
  • The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031.
  • Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
  • All stated bounds are inclusive.
  • For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,853.43+2.49%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.88%

Verwandte Märkte

US real GDP growth in 2027?

US real GDP growth in 2027?

9,6 €
1.6% to 2.0%: 10%KalshiKALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2028?

US real GDP growth in 2028?

5 €
2.1% to 2.5%: 16%KalshiKALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2029?

US real GDP growth in 2029?

3,3 €
5.1% to 5.5%: 6%KalshiKALSHI
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3183,6 €
Ja: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,5 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,8 €
Ja: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.67%XRPXRP$1.12+0.68%BNBBNB$596.70+1.82%CardanoADA$0.1655+3.23%HyperliquidHYPE$55.84+0.99%LitecoinLTC$42.70+0.54%

Regeln

If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030.
  • The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031.
  • Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
  • All stated bounds are inclusive.
  • For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.