PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit<-2.4% 47%+1.0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
5,1 €
Liquidität
2414,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.3% / 58.6%
Spread
4407.7%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-15.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
26. Mai 26, 18:2317. Aug. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
<-2.4%47%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
880,5 €4.6-4.9%: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
156,4 €2.0–2.5%: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
43,3 €Ja: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
4,8 €0.4-0.7%: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
3 €Above 2.5%: 53%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026
0,3 €Above 3.2%: 3%KALSHI
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This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on August 17, 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
- Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.