KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 3.0% 8%-7.0%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3961,6 €
Liquidität
59.506,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
11. Mai 26, 14:3030. Juli 26, 12:29
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 3.0%8%
Plattformen vergleichen· 1.5–2.0%
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 99% | +65pt | 3961,6 € | 59.506,3 € | vor 23 Minuten | |
 Polymarket100% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 35% | +1pt | 240 € | 9253,3 € | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Futuur72% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 37% | +3pt | 0 € | 4882,4 € | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Limitless100% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 35% | +1pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 23 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
0.5%3T
+3.0%35%
28%
18%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen16.924,7 €
24h-Volumen240 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
3T
34.7%
28%
17.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen1040,5 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Futuur
US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026
3T
37%
30%
20%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
44 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen44,7 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURRegeln
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$4.5k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
8,8 €Above 2.5%: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
7339,7 €2.5–2.9%: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
450 €1.5-2.0%: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
267,7 €0.0%–0.8%: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
17,6 €Ja: 9.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
10,4 €Above 5.6%: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Regeln
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.