KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 2.5% 53%+2.0%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
3 €
Liquidität
304,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
44.0% / 56.0%
Spread
27.3%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
24. März 26, 14:0030. Juli 26, 12:29
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 2.5%53%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
7.5%1Mon
-8.0%26%
22%
18%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
44 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen5568,9 €
24h-Volumen156,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
880,6 €4.6-4.9%: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
43,3 €Ja: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
5,1 €-2.4%– -1.6%: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
China GDP growth rate YoY for Q2 2026
1,8 €Above 4.2%: 90%KALSHI
KALSHI
Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026
0,3 €Above 3.2%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIRegeln
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.