Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição21dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 99%
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15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 53 minutos
Atrasado10/07/26, 05:48 UTC30/09/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 10, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), President Donald J. Trump or the White House officially announces a new policy, executive action, presidential memorandum, proclamation, or legislative proposal concerning U.S. tariffs or immigration.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definition of "New": The announcement must introduce a policy, tariff rate, target category, border enforcement directive, or visa rule that is distinct from policies officially active or announced prior to July 10, 2026.
- Expanding, replacing, or substantively modifying an existing program counts as a new policy; merely executing or re-stating an established schedule from a prior order does not.
- Definition of "Announce": The policy must be officially communicated directly by President Trump (e.g., via his official Truth Social account, a live public address, or an official press conference) or formally issued via the White House Briefing Room or the Federal Register.
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” é resolvido?
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria