Por quanto os US vão adquirir Greenland?
0.4 pts (24h)Política comercialOne-OffEventos corporativosPolíticaPolítica dos EUAGeopolítica2a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
$0 / Sem Aquisição · —
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Preço registado
$0 / Sem Aquisição 91%Líder entre 8 opções
$0 / Sem Aquisição 91%Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
48,3 €
Contratos em aberto
569,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
— / —
$0 / Sem AquisiçãoSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
17/01/26, 15:00 UTC22/01/29, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · $0 / Sem Aquisição
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US acquire any new territory?
KalshiWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
LimitlessWill the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Times
- The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets.
Regras de cada resultado
- $0 / No Acquisition
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $600 billion to $899 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $600 billion and $899 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $300 billion to $599 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $300 billion and $599 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $10 billion to $99 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $10 billion and $99 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $1 billion to $9 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $1 billion and $9 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $100 billion to $299 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $100 billion and $299 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $900 billion to $1199 billion
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $900 billion and $1199 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $1.2 trillion or more
- If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is at_least $1200 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.