Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Corporate ActionsTecnologiaOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsGeopolítica3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98%
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39
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado8/01/26, 02:08 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States acquires sovereignty over Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- Acquisition would require either: (1) a formal transfer of sovereignty from Denmark to the United States through a treaty or purchase agreement ratified by the U.S. Senate or Danish Parliament, or (2) effective U.S. military control over some or all of the territory.
- The market resolves NO if no such transfer occurs by the deadline.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. State Department or other U.S. government agencies.
- Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Effective military control is defined as: The US government making an official statement that they have control over Greenland via the US Military.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria