KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBefore May 1, 2027 42%Líder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
91 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
4 mil €
Liquidez
201,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
43.0% / 44.0%
Spread
2.3%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
26/03/26, 0:001/05/27, 3:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Before May 1, 202742%
Comparar plataformas· Before 2028
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 68% | — | 4 mil € | 201,4 mil € | há 9 minutos | |
 Polymarket90% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 19% | — | 285,4 € | 34,3 mil € | há 9 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
5m
-0.5%19%
10%
-0.1%0%
64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total769,9 mil €
Volume 24h285,4 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.5k83.0%POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? — Noviniihá 4 dias
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? — Noviniihá 4 diasTendência de volume
$4.6k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.