KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 21, 2029 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 21, 2029 25.5%Líder entre 3 opções
Before Jan 21, 2029 25.5%Qualidade do mercado
69 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
824,4 €
Contratos em aberto
86,4 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 21, 2029Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
7/01/26, 15:00 UTC21/01/29, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 21, 2029
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Times
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 21, 2029
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 2028
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 2027
- If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.