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  3. Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

0.5% (24h)TecnologiaOne-OffSpaceCiênciaGeopolítica4a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
European Space Agency
European Space Agency 2%+0.5%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

1,1 €

Liquidez

574,1 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.5% / 1.7%

Spread

240.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

28/11/24, 15:001/01/31, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

European Space Agency2%

Regras

If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
  • (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.
  • If Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If India is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regras

If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
  • (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.
  • If Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If India is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.