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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. IA
  3. Best AI at the end of 2026?
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

1.7% (24h)IATecnologiaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Claude
Claude 67%-1.7%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

91 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

436,5 €

Liquidez

30,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

66.0% / 67.0%

Spread

1.5%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

1/01/26, 15:0031/12/26, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Claude67%

Regras

If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Claude: 91%KalshiKALSHI
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Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

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Google: 14.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,1 €
None in 2026: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?

216,6 €
Sim: 19.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?

90,7 €
Sim: 53.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%BNBBNB$595.66+1.32%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%

Notícias Relacionadas

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regras

If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.