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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. US Politics
  3. TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

US PoliticsEntretenimentoYearlyIA6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani 20%
Líder entre 22 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

14,4 €

Liquidez

1,7 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

17.0% / 20.0%

Spread

17.6%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

19/02/26, 20:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Zohran Mamdani20%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

12.0%6m
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani
+30.0%40%
Christina Koch
Christina Koch
+1.5%39%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
-1.5%34%

+19 mais resultados

56 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total1,1 mil €
Volume 24h125,4 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
  • Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
  • Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
  • Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
  • Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.