KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Zohran Mamdani 29%-1.0ptLíder entre 25 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6,8 mil €
Liquidez
624,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
19/02/26, 20:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
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KalshiRegras
If the named outcome is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:TIME
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 30%
- Também disponível em Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 37%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? · Zohran Mamdani 27%
Mercados abertos
US Politics
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 855,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 683,4 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Volume total
- € 620,1 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 215,2 mil
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Zohran Mamdani em 29% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Time's Person of the Year for 2026 é resolvido?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Time's Person of the Year for 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Time's Person of the Year for 2026 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket, Futuur, Manifold Markets.