KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualZohran Mamdani 28%+2.0%Líder entre 25 opções
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
20 mil €
Liquidez
325,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
19/02/26, 20:001/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Zohran Mamdani28%
Comparar plataformas· Zohran Mamdani
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 28% | +1pt | 20 mil € | 325,3 mil € | há 10 minutos | |
 Polymarket71% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 30% | +3pt | 666 € | 204,1 mil € | há 10 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets88% de correspondência · verificado | — | 13% | -14pt | — | — | há 10 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
5m
-0.8%30.9%
-0.1%13%
+0.9%12.9%
+46 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade207 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Polymarket
TIME Person of the Year 2026
7.5%5m
+7.5%30%
-3.0%20%
+3.5%17%
+19 mais resultados
80 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total3,6 mil €
Volume 24h666 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$22.8k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.