Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 22 de jul. de 2026, 05:20 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Previsão da comunidade atualVance (R) defeats Newsom (D) 5.7%-0.3%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
30
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado15/10/25, 3:317/11/28, 6:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Vance (R) defeats Newsom (D)6%
Tendência de volume
$3317 de jul.2d de dados22 de jul.
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Each option requires that the listed candidate both be nominated by their respective party and then win the election.
- This is a derivative market, and will resolve according to these underlying markets:
- @/EvanDaniel/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20-zA926yNPOA
- @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf
- @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344
- Update 2025-10-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Independent or 3rd party wins are included in the "Other" option.