PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Anthropic 59.2%-4.0ptLíder entre 15 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
18,4 mil €
Liquidez
786,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
4/06/26, 17:41 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PolymarketWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- € 241,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 128 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 349,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which company has best AI model end of 2026??
- A Polymarket cota Anthropic em 59% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which company has best AI model end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Which company has best AI model end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Onde mais Which company has best AI model end of 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Futuur.