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  3. Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

1.0% (24h)EsportesIATecnologiaYearlyEsportes eletrônicos6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
OpenAI
OpenAI 31%+1.0%
Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado

60 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

34,2 €

Liquidez

4,9 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

31.0% / 32.0%

Spread

3.2%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

3/01/26, 15:0031/12/26, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

OpenAI31%

Regras

If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alibaba has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If xAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If DeepSeek has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Google has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

Top Coding AI this month

Top Coding AI this month

50,5 €
Claude: 64%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5,2 mil €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,9 mil €
Sim: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,3 €
None in 2026: 69%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

479,4 €
Sim: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

427,5 €
Claude: 67%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,748.94+1.97%SolanaSOL$65.07+1.17%EthereumETH$1,654.07+1.26%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.10%BNBBNB$596.08+1.54%XRPXRP$1.11+0.04%

Notícias Relacionadas

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regras

If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alibaba has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If xAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If DeepSeek has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Google has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.