Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualLanyue 37%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
29
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado20/06/25, 02:51 UTC31/12/30, 02:47 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
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PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the crewed lunar lander that successfully transports astronauts from lunar orbit to the Moon's surface, as confirmed by an official space agency or government announcement.
- the named outcome: Developed by SpaceX under NASA's Artemis program, the named outcome is slated for the Artemis III mission, aiming for the first crewed lunar landing since 1972.
- An uncrewed test flight is planned for 2025, with the crewed mission expected no earlier than mid-2027.
- (en.wikipedia.org)
- Blue Moon HLS: Blue Origin's Blue Moon lander is contracted for the Artemis V mission, targeting a crewed lunar landing.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon??
- A Manifold Markets cota Lanyue em 37% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon? é resolvido?
- Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria