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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Middle East
  3. How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

One-OffMiddle East6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
4
4 42%+6.8%
Líder entre 16 opções
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

4,3 mil €

Liquidez

274,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

13/11/25, 16:0231/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

442%

Regras

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
  • Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
  • For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
  • Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
  • Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
  • For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
  • Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.