PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualAugust 31 23%+1.5%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
66,4 mil €
Liquidez
145,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
3.1% / 4.0%
Spread
29.0%
Spread amploVariação 7d
-10.4%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
25/06/26, 23:2331/08/26, 23:59
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
August 3123%
Grandes negociações
$1.4k86.0%NoJAMJAMJAM4ontem
$3.5k89.0%NoMEPPontem
$1.4k14.0%Yestrashpilotontem
$1.3k87.0%No0x6bab…0fe5anteontem
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”).
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify.
- A closure which applies generally to commercial aviation across Iranian airspace, with limited exceptions for certain categories of flights, however, will qualify (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted).
- Qualifying previous examples include the February 28, 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace (https://www.iranintl.com/en/202602289115) and the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/).