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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 12%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

302 €

Liquidez

29,3 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-1.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

19/01/26, 20:3531/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes12%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.