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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 16%
Qualidade do mercado

72 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

94,9 €

Liquidez

30,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

-2.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

13/11/25, 21:4631/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes16%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
  • If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
  • If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.