Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
0.1 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 95%+0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
14,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
4.2% / 5.2%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+0.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
5/11/25, 18:06 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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FutuurRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
- The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.