Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Política dos EUAOne-OffGeopolíticaOriente Médio23d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 54%Líder entre 11 opções
December 31 54%Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
45,9 mil €
Liquidez
77,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
156
Variação 7d
+2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
4/08/26, 22:48 UTC1/11/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
August 12Perdeu
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Antes do encerramento: 1% ·
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Fonte: Polymarket
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between Oman and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian or Omani policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at managing, permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, including agreements defining vessel traffic corridors, fee collection policies, or other management policies.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.
