US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
5.0 pts (24h)Política dos EUAOne-OffGeopolíticaOriente Médio2m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 39%+5.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
December 31 39%+5.0ptQualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
27,2 mil €
Liquidez
163,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
14
Variação 7d
-12.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
4/08/26, 02:59 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
August 15Perdeu
August 31Perdeu
September 15Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 0% ·
September 30Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 0% ·
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Não
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.