PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 30 18%+2.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
77 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
26,8 mil €
Liquidez
121,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.7 pt
Spread apertadoComments
7
Variação 7d
-10.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
4/08/26, 2:591/10/26, 3:59
Tendências
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.
