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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

0.3% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31
December 31 33%-2.0%
Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

8,8 mil €

Liquidez

162,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

2.8% / 3.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

+0.7%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

16/05/26, 1:3131/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
May 31
May 31
0%

Resultado escolhido

December 3133%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A ceasefire refers to any mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries, and which constitutes a general suspension of direct kinetic military engagement across the primary theater of the overall conflict.
  • A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause (including holiday ceasefires) will count provided they otherwise qualify under this market’s rules.
  • Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire.
  • Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.

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17 mil €
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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14,8 mil €
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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,612.98+1.75%EthereumETH$1,652.45+1.40%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.09%XRPXRP$1.12-0.25%BNBBNB$595.56+1.31%

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A ceasefire refers to any mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries, and which constitutes a general suspension of direct kinetic military engagement across the primary theater of the overall conflict.
  • A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause (including holiday ceasefires) will count provided they otherwise qualify under this market’s rules.
  • Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire.
  • Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.