Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.5%
Previsores
82
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
14/12/25, 17:18 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket]
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FutuurRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- A ceasefire will resolve YES if a formal agreement between Russia and Ukraine to halt hostilities is reached and takes effect at any point during 2026.
- The ceasefire must involve a cessation of military operations along the entire front line, not partial or temporary truces.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the governments of Russia, Ukraine, or the United States, or reporting from major international news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera) confirming the ceasefire has commenced.
- If no such agreement is reached by December 31, 2026, the market resolves NO.
- Renewed negotiations began in 2025 after Donald Trump became president, with Trump's administration broadly agreeing with Russian proposals for ending the war.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026? é resolvido?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria