Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.3%
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado25/11/23, 23:48 UTC31/12/33, 22:59 UTC
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The German Council on Foreign Relations (German: Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, DGAP) is a prominent Germany foreign policy research institute and they are concerned about a russian attack:
- With its imperial ambitions, Russia represents the greatest and most urgent threat to NATO countries.
- Once intensive fighting will have ended in Ukraine, the regime in Moscow may need as little as six to ten years to reconstitute its armed forces. -DGAP
- While it isn't clear when "intensive fighting will have ended in Ukraine", let's try with roughly a 10 year period from now.
- Resolves YES when Russia intentionally attacks a NATO member.
- Accidents like a misfired missiles are not sufficient.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Russia attack NATO before 2034??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 56% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Russia attack NATO before 2034? é resolvido?
- Will Russia attack NATO before 2034? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2033.
- Como Will Russia attack NATO before 2034? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The German Council on Foreign Relations (German: Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, DGAP) is a prominent Germany foreign policy research institute and they are concerned about a russian attack: