US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
Política comercialOne-OffPolítica dos EUAGeopolíticaOriente MédioChina25d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 94%
Não 94%Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
71,6 €
Liquidez
334,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
4.0% / 8.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 minutos
30/09/26, 23:55 UTC1/11/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
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- 5
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- 1 pontos percentuais
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with China.
- Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by China or Chinese citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
- Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with China will qualify.
- The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against China will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
