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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

1.0% (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 60%-1.0%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

4,9 €

Liquidez

366,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

57.0% / 62.0%

Spread

8.8%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

17/03/26, 14:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%

Resultado escolhido

Before Jan 1, 202760%

Regras

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,646.85+2.32%EthereumETH$1,650.02+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.70%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.85%XRPXRP$1.12+0.41%BNBBNB$595.02+1.72%

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Regras

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.