Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
5.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 12%-5.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
106,4 €
Liquidez
42 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
17/03/26, 14:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
- A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
- If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2027 em 12% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? é resolvido?
- Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.