Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
1.5 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffTecnologiaGeopolíticaChina3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 78.2%+1.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
112,2 €
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
20.0% / 23.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
2
Variação 7d
-17.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
30/06/26, 17:22 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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PredictItRegras
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT).
- You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
- This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
