KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
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Preço registado
Before Apr 1, 2027 14.5%
Before Apr 1, 2027 14.5%Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto
25,2 mil €
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 32 minutos
10/09/26, 03:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Apr 1, 2027
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Qualifying payments require: At least $100 issued to each of at least 1,000,000 actual recipients under the same program. Payments to the same person may be combined. Checks dispatched, electronic transfers released, or equivalent spendable monetary payments issued. Recipients need not cash their checks. The following do NOT qualify: Announcements, authorizations, planned payments, or counts of eligible people without actual issuance. Routine federal benefits or ordinary tax refunds; ACA or other healthcare reimbursement rebates; importer tariff refunds; child Trump Account deposits; private gifts; stock dividends; or non-monetary distributions. Changes to the program name, payment amount, eligibility, funding source, spending restrictions, or political conditions do not disqualify a program that meets these requirements.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.