KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 18:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaCompra / Venda
19.0% / 28.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
24/08/26, 21:00 UTC2/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
0%
Regras
If the United States has in effect tariffs of 50% on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel after Issuance and before Jan 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe VergeFederal Register
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- Tariffs are in effect when a presidential proclamation, executive order or Federal Register notice is legally in force and being applied to imports.
- An announcement, including a social media post, and an order signed but not yet effective, do NOT count The tariff must be in force at 50% on ALL of cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel.
Mercados abertos
Trade PolicyKALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 13,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,7 mil
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156.5%
- October 3130.6%
- September 30+3.0pt13%
+1 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+11.0pt35%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,3 mil
POLYMARKETWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- No+4.0pt77%
- Yes-4.0pt23%
- Volume total
- € 17,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 556,6
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-5.0pt72%
- No28%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 543,1
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect??
- A Kalshi cota No em 100% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? é resolvido?
- 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United States has in effect tariffs of 50% on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel after Issuance and before Jan 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.