Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
2.0 pts (24h)Política comercialOne-OffOriente MédioCrime e justiça2m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 19%+2.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
December 31 19%+2.0ptQualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
59,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
45
Variação 7d
-3.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
25/06/26, 23:22 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
August 31Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 0% ·
July 15Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 0% ·
July 31Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 0% ·
September 30Perdeu
Antes do encerramento: 1% ·
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Não
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.”
- A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies).
- Isolated demanded charges will not qualify.
- A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services.
- Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify).
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Limitless — Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? · August 31 50%