KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
Livro recebido (não a hora da cotação da plataforma): —
Preço registado
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement Compra–venda registada32%–40%Recolhido: Última transação: 41% · Hora da transação desconhecidaPreços como percentagem do pagamento, antes de taxas; estas observações registadas não são cotações executáveis.Líder entre 8 opções
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement Compra–venda registada32%–40%Recolhido: Última transação: 41% · Hora da transação desconhecidaPreços como percentagem do pagamento, antes de taxas; estas observações registadas não são cotações executáveis.Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4,2 €
Contratos em aberto
10,7 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
U.S.–Mexico interim agreementSpread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 28 minutos
23/07/26, 16:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
A carregar o livro selecionado…
Livro recebido (não a hora da cotação da plataforma): —
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
¿El tratado de comercio T-MEC (USMCA) será sustituido con un tratado bilateral entre EE.UU. y México en 2026?
Manifold MarketsUSMCA extended in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump withdraw the US from the USMCA before the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
KalshiUS x Cuba economic deal by which date?
PolymarketWill the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the United States and Mexico reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- This event is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Regras de cada resultado
- U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
- If the United States and Mexico reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U.S.–Canada interim agreement
- If the United States and Canada reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trilateral revised deal
- If the United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, an agreement in principle establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA while preserving it as a trilateral agreement, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal 16-year extension
- If the United States, Mexico, and Canada each provide the written head-of-government confirmation required by Article 34.7 to extend USMCA for another 16-year term after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal USMCA amendment
- If an amendment to USMCA enters into force under Article 34.3 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U.S. withdrawal notice
- If the United States provides Canada and Mexico written notice of withdrawal from USMCA under Article 34.6 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Canadian withdrawal notice
- If Canada provides the United States and Mexico written notice of withdrawal from USMCA under Article 34.6 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mexican withdrawal notice
- If Mexico provides the United States and Canada written notice of withdrawal from USMCA under Article 34.6 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.