What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
Política comercialOne-OffChinaEuropa2m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
10% or above · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
10% or above 86%Líder entre 6 opções
10% or above 86%Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
2,6 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
10% or aboveSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
23/07/26, 17:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · 10% or above
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PolymarketRegras
If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street Journalthe United States CongressSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Timesthe President of the United States
- The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect. Examples (for date = Jan 1, 2026): India: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50% China: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20% European Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326) Falkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)
Regras de cada resultado
- 10% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 15% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 40% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 40%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.