Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaOriente Médio2m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 6%-1.0ptLíder entre 11 opções
December 31 6%-1.0ptQualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
41,2 mil €
Liquidez
319,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
521
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
14/03/26, 00:25 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
April 15Perdeu
April 30Perdeu
August 31Perdeu
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July 31Perdeu
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June 24Perdeu
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June 30Perdeu
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March 31Perdeu
May 31Perdeu
September 30Perdeu
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Fonte: Polymarket
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
