PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 8%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
76,7 mil €
Liquidez
566,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComments
514
Variação 7d
-0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
14/03/26, 0:251/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
