Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East22d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 30 4%-0.4ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
35 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
24,1 mil €
Alta liquidezComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
21/07/26, 01:15 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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MyriadRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.