Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East22d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 23:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
September 30 2%-0.2pt
Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
59,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 0.1%
Comentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
5/08/26, 00:26 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
LimitlessWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one of the specified islands is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The islands that will be considered for resolution are: Farsi Island, Hengam Island, Hormuz Island and Kharg Island.
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over at least one of the specified islands, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.