Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
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Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 16 de jun. de 2026, 00:25 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Previsão da comunidade atualBefore 2027 25.9%Líder entre 4 opções
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Atualizado há 42 dias
Desatualizado8/03/26, 17:1831/12/26, 17:13
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Before 202726%
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States takes control of Kharg Island for at least an hour before the specified deadline.
- Control is defined as US military forces establishing and maintaining physical presence on the island with the ability to direct operations.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets, official US government statements, or documented military operations.
- The market resolves NO if the deadline passes without such control being established.
- Kharg Island is a 5-mile strip of land that serves as Iran's most important oil facility, an export terminal in the Persian Gulf that handles up to 90 percent of the nation's crude.