PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualAugust 31 8%+1.3%
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
35,6 mil €
Liquidez
33,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
7.2% / 7.9%
Spread
9.7%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
21/07/26, 1:1531/08/26, 23:55
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
August 318%
Tendência de volume
$40.6k21 de jul.6d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.