PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualJohn Brennan 28%-0.5%Líder entre 24 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
394,4 €
Liquidez
194,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
3.3% / 3.9%
Spread
18.2%
Spread amploVariação 7d
+1.3%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
John Brennan28%
Comparar plataformas· John Brennan
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral76% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 36% | +8pt | 1,4 mil € | 315,3 mil € | há 24 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Média | 28% | 0pt | 394,4 € | 194,6 mil € | há 4 minutos |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Who will be arrested in 2026?
0.3%5m
36%
+5.0%26%
23%
+21 mais resultados
91 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total907,5 mil €
Volume 24h1,4 mil €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$4492 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.