PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
John Brennan 22%+1.0ptLíder entre 24 opções
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
976,6 €
Liquidez
296,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.3 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
13
Variação 7d
+2.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Who will be arrested in 2026? · John Brennan 22%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be arrested before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota John Brennan em 22% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Who will be arrested before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais Who will be arrested before 2027? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.