KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBarack Obama 6%+0.3%Líder entre 24 opções
Qualidade do mercado
91 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
315,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
6.0% / 6.1%
Spread
1.7%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
23/07/25, 14:001/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Barack Obama6%
Comparar plataformas· John Brennan
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 36% | +8pt | 1,4 mil € | 315,3 mil € | há 11 minutos | |
 Polymarket76% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 28% | 0pt | 394,4 € | 194,4 mil € | há 11 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
0.3%
-0.5%28%
-6.0%26%
20%
+21 mais resultados
64 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total196,2 mil €
Volume 24h394,4 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1.6k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.